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There are a lot of perks
in Balance Discussion Tue Mar 05, 2019 4:13 amby laiyongcai92 • Farseer | 152 Posts | 1520 Points
when you win the Super Bowl http://www.authenticsphiladelphiaeagles.com/cheap-brandon-brooks-jersey , but there are also a few drawbacks. One is that everyone wants to be like you, “it’s a copycat league” still applies. Teams try to mimic player usage, or a drafting philosophy, or a style of play. They also try to import the ideas by hiring coaches from the winning team. The Eagles have seen that happen, as Doug Pederson’s top two offensive assistants got promotions with other teams. The other big area to copy without hiring anyone is Pederson’s trademark aggression on 4th down. But 4th downs are big risk. With most teams six games into the season, it’s a good time to check if teams are really following Pederson’s lead or not.They are.Early in the season it was clear that when teams went for it, they were doing so almost exclusively when 1 or 2 yards was needed for a first down. That’s logical, as getting 1 yard is far easier than getting 4, and with 2 yards being the distance needed for a 2 point conversion, a short yardage do or die situation is both practiced and planned for. But it was unclear if coaches would stick with it Youth Dallas Goedert Jersey , or if the early results were just an aberration in a small sample size. With the season a third of the way over, the results are clear.Through 6 weeks of 2017 on 4th and 2 or less on or inside their opponent’s 40 in the first three quarters, and not counting end/near end of half field goals (in other words, short yardage in field goal range and not in desperation time), coaches that weren’t Doug Pederson went for it 45% of the time.This season in the same situations, coaches that aren’t Doug Pederson have gone for it 61% of the time. And they’re doing so consistently, the attempt rate is 50% or better every week of the season.Coaches are even coming out of their shells a bit on longer distances. With the above parameters but with a distance of 3 to 10 yards to go, coaches went for it 5% of the time last season. This season that rate has doubled, they’ve gone for it 10% of the time. These are seismic changes.For years many fans and an increasing amount of analysts have begged and pleaded with coaches to go for it more often, arguing that the reward justifies the risk. It did for Doug Pederson http://www.authenticsphiladelphiaeagles.com/cheap-lane-johnson-jersey , and it is for coaches. So far this season there have been 30 4th and short attempts. 13 of them either scored a touchdown on the play or the drive resulted in a touchdown, 6 were converted but the drive resulted in a field goal, while 10 failed to gain a first down, and 1 was converted but the drive later ended on a failed fourth and long attempt (the Bills trying a fake field goal). This season the league average field goal conversion rate is 84.4%, if we apply that to the 30 attempts we would expect 75 points to be scored.In reality, teams have scored 122 points, an average of 4 points an attempt. Teams are converting on 67% of attempts. 65% of teams that convert are turning would be field goal attempts into drives ending with a touchdown. Coaches going for it on 4th and short should be here to stay, and it’s an overdue and welcome change. Everyone can thank Doug Pederson for it. How do you plan to deploy a pass rush against a mobile quarterback? Do you contain on both sides? Do you add a spy to keep tabs for the entire game or in key situations? What if your data presents a different picture? What if it says you don’t need to do any of that?For Super Bowl Philadelphia Eagles’ defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz, devising his rush plan starts with the quarterback, not the offensive line. He detailed this philosophy in a 2015 C.O.O.L. (Coaches of Offensive Linemen) Clinic.How do you quantify where a quarterback typically throws from and how he likes to escape the pocket? Schwartz helped develop a process for this during his 2001-2008 stint as defensive coordinator for the Tennessee Titans. They started with graph paper Youth Alshon Jeffery Jersey , marking an “X” for every throw at the correlating space on the graph. Later the process would be computerized.What did they find with this charting data?This allowed Schwartz to sell the idea of moving away from a non-traditional pass rush plan. If they knew where a quarterback liked to escape and where they, in turn, wanted to flush him, then they could present that quarterback with options that played into the defenses hands. Ideally, one option is a quarterback could step into pressure or get rid of the ball with haste and the other option would be taking a path that the quarterback was uncomfortable throwing from.Additionally, if you knew where a quarterback liked to escape, you didn’t have to cover up every gap in your pass rush plan. This is something we’ve talked about constantly on The Kist & Solak Show regarding the Eagles’ defensive line freelancing and not concerning themselves with gap discipline on passing downs. Schwartz confirmed our suspicions and gave the why:Finally, Schwartz would go on to note the differences between down and distance situations and how that played a role in how it limited or expanded the options available to an individual pass rusher.This also impacts his philosophy in the red zone, where the ball gets out quicker. He advised against moves like the speed rush in those situations, stressing the quickness in which the ball comes out of the quarterback’s hand when the field condenses.Knowing what we now know about Schwartz’s process Color Rush Ronald Darby Jersey , it was time to put it into practice. I charted every throw from Carolina Panthers’ quarterback Cam Newton in Week 6. I marked each throw with a yellow circle and then connected it with a thin yellow line to it’s throw location. Shout out to Next Gen Stats for the initial data and the graph.What does this tell us about Newton? First, it tells us he’s an extremely stationary thrower more in the mold of a pocket quarterback than what you may have imagined. Newton would much rather hitch up in the pocket and get rid of the ball before pressure arrives than dart out of it and throw on the move. Whether this attitude was always there or developed over years of taking a beating from designed runs (of which there are still plenty) and taking shows trying to deliver on the move, I’m not sure.What I am sure of is that the Eagles’ game-plan doesn’t need to involve a heavy emphasis on contain or spying. To further illustrate that point, I charted every single scramble from Newton in 2018. This confirmed what I saw in the Week 6 data.In fives games only 4 throws come from outside of the pocket on a scramble and only one went for a completion. This does not include designed play-action roll-outs where he moved along his natural track, but there weren’t many of those either. He opted to run from a scramble on only 11 occasions. 11 of 15 of these scrambles move toward his ball-hand.I noticed on his film that on third down teams would overload or shift their line to the right of the offensive line. This tells you teams are certainly cognizant of the obvious fact that Newton is right-handed, not only as a thrower but as a scrambler. That may be the only change that the Eagles make in their plan against the Panthers from this data.Make no mistake though, Newton is not exactly Peyton Manning, he’s still a viable run threat. But the restrictions placed on rushers against perpetually scrambling quarterbacks like Russell Wilson will likely not be installed to such a high degree in this instance. Those restraints include eliminating the “two-way go” from a pass rushers repertoire and putting him strictly in a contain role.Simply, the spot the Eagles are rushing is the the most frequent launch point. For Newton, that launch point is in the pocket.If they alter their tactics for other factors Color Rush Mike Wallace Jersey , like how the Panthers often pull a lineman or tight end across the formation to block the backside EMLOS (end man on line of scrimmage), that’s an entirely different beast. This will take discipline from our defensive ends and also present them with some non-conventional rush angles. There’s also the matter of accounting for Newton in the Panthers’ option game, which is likely a stronger focus for Schwartz this week.Ultimately, this knowledge in invaluable. Knowing how and why Schwartz develops his rush plans allows us to go beyond conjecture and decipher why certain schemes were deployed or not deployed. In this case, the Eagles’ plan involves trying to flush a stationary quarterback out of the pocket and to his left, away from his ball-hand. Also, sacking him would be ideal. If they don’t, Schwartz will have a report with every throw and how quickly the ball was released on his desk on Monday morning.
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